A wide variety of model explanation approaches have been proposed in recent years, all guided by very different rationales and heuristics. In this paper, we take a new route and cast interpretability as a statistical inference problem. We propose a general deep probabilistic model designed to produce interpretable predictions. The model parameters can be learned via maximum likelihood, and the method can be adapted to any predictor network architecture and any type of prediction problem. Our method is a case of amortized interpretability models, where a neural network is used as a selector to allow for fast interpretation at inference time. Several popular interpretability methods are shown to be particular cases of regularised maximum likelihood for our general model. We propose new datasets with ground truth selection which allow for the evaluation of the features importance map. Using these datasets, we show experimentally that using multiple imputation provides more reasonable interpretations.

复杂的机器学习算法在涉及文本数据的关键任务中越来越多地使用，从而导致开发可解释性方法。在本地方法中，已经出现了两个家庭：那些计算每个功能的重要性得分以及那些提取简单逻辑规则的人。在本文中，我们表明，即使应用于我们期望定性巧合的简单模型，使用不同的方法也会导致出乎意料的不同解释。为了量化这种效果，我们提出了一种新方法来比较不同方法产生的解释。

解释性是决策系统的压迫问题。已经提出了许多后的HOC方法来解释任何机器学习模型的预测。但是，业务流程和决策系统很少归属于单个独立的模型。这些系统组合了产生关键预测的多个模型，然后应用决策规则以生成最终决定。为了解释此类决定，我们呈现SMACE，半模型 - 不可知论式解释器，一种新的解释方法，该方法将决策规则与现有的机器学习模型进行决策规则，以生成对最终用户身份定制的直观特征排名。我们表明，建立的模型 - 无可止境方法在这一框架中产生了不良的结果。

在本文中，我们对在表格数据的情况下进行了详尽的理论分析。我们证明，在较大的样本限制中，可以按照算法参数的函数以及与黑框模型相关的一些期望计算来计算表格石灰提供的可解释系数。当要解释的函数具有一些不错的代数结构（根据坐标的子集，线性，乘法或稀疏）时，我们的分析提供了对Lime提供的解释的有趣见解。这些可以应用于一系列机器学习模型，包括高斯内核或卡车随机森林。例如，对于线性函数，我们表明Lime具有理想的属性，可以提供与函数系数成正比的解释，以解释并忽略该函数未使用的坐标来解释。对于基于分区的回归器，另一方面，我们表明石灰会产生可能提供误导性解释的不希望的人工制品。

Classical reinforcement learning (RL) techniques are generally concerned with the design of decision-making policies driven by the maximisation of the expected outcome. Nevertheless, this approach does not take into consideration the potential risk associated with the actions taken, which may be critical in certain applications. To address that issue, the present research work introduces a novel methodology based on distributional RL to derive sequential decision-making policies that are sensitive to the risk, the latter being modelled by the tail of the return probability distribution. The core idea is to replace the $Q$ function generally standing at the core of learning schemes in RL by another function taking into account both the expected return and the risk. Named the risk-based utility function $U$, it can be extracted from the random return distribution $Z$ naturally learnt by any distributional RL algorithm. This enables to span the complete potential trade-off between risk minimisation and expected return maximisation, in contrast to fully risk-averse methodologies. Fundamentally, this research yields a truly practical and accessible solution for learning risk-sensitive policies with minimal modification to the distributional RL algorithm, and with an emphasis on the interpretability of the resulting decision-making process.

Deep learning models are being increasingly applied to imbalanced data in high stakes fields such as medicine, autonomous driving, and intelligence analysis. Imbalanced data compounds the black-box nature of deep networks because the relationships between classes may be highly skewed and unclear. This can reduce trust by model users and hamper the progress of developers of imbalanced learning algorithms. Existing methods that investigate imbalanced data complexity are geared toward binary classification, shallow learning models and low dimensional data. In addition, current eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques mainly focus on converting opaque deep learning models into simpler models (e.g., decision trees) or mapping predictions for specific instances to inputs, instead of examining global data properties and complexities. Therefore, there is a need for a framework that is tailored to modern deep networks, that incorporates large, high dimensional, multi-class datasets, and uncovers data complexities commonly found in imbalanced data (e.g., class overlap, sub-concepts, and outlier instances). We propose a set of techniques that can be used by both deep learning model users to identify, visualize and understand class prototypes, sub-concepts and outlier instances; and by imbalanced learning algorithm developers to detect features and class exemplars that are key to model performance. Our framework also identifies instances that reside on the border of class decision boundaries, which can carry highly discriminative information. Unlike many existing XAI techniques which map model decisions to gray-scale pixel locations, we use saliency through back-propagation to identify and aggregate image color bands across entire classes. Our framework is publicly available at \url{https://github.com/dd1github/XAI_for_Imbalanced_Learning}

In this paper, we identify the best learning scenario to train a team of agents to compete against multiple possible strategies of opposing teams. We evaluate cooperative value-based methods in a mixed cooperative-competitive environment. We restrict ourselves to the case of a symmetric, partially observable, two-team Markov game. We selected three training methods based on the centralised training and decentralised execution (CTDE) paradigm: QMIX, MAVEN and QVMix. For each method, we considered three learning scenarios differentiated by the variety of team policies encountered during training. For our experiments, we modified the StarCraft Multi-Agent Challenge environment to create competitive environments where both teams could learn and compete simultaneously. Our results suggest that training against multiple evolving strategies achieves the best results when, for scoring their performances, teams are faced with several strategies.

Words of estimative probability (WEP) are expressions of a statement's plausibility (probably, maybe, likely, doubt, likely, unlikely, impossible...). Multiple surveys demonstrate the agreement of human evaluators when assigning numerical probability levels to WEP. For example, highly likely corresponds to a median chance of 0.90+-0.08 in Fagen-Ulmschneider (2015)'s survey. In this work, we measure the ability of neural language processing models to capture the consensual probability level associated to each WEP. Firstly, we use the UNLI dataset (Chen et al., 2020) which associates premises and hypotheses with their perceived joint probability p, to construct prompts, e.g. "[PREMISE]. [WEP], [HYPOTHESIS]." and assess whether language models can predict whether the WEP consensual probability level is close to p. Secondly, we construct a dataset of WEP-based probabilistic reasoning, to test whether language models can reason with WEP compositions. When prompted "[EVENTA] is likely. [EVENTB] is impossible.", a causal language model should not express that [EVENTA&B] is likely. We show that both tasks are unsolved by off-the-shelf English language models, but that fine-tuning leads to transferable improvement.

Neural networks trained with ERM (empirical risk minimization) sometimes learn unintended decision rules, in particular when their training data is biased, i.e., when training labels are strongly correlated with undesirable features. To prevent a network from learning such features, recent methods augment training data such that examples displaying spurious correlations (i.e., bias-aligned examples) become a minority, whereas the other, bias-conflicting examples become prevalent. However, these approaches are sometimes difficult to train and scale to real-world data because they rely on generative models or disentangled representations. We propose an alternative based on mixup, a popular augmentation that creates convex combinations of training examples. Our method, coined SelecMix, applies mixup to contradicting pairs of examples, defined as showing either (i) the same label but dissimilar biased features, or (ii) different labels but similar biased features. Identifying such pairs requires comparing examples with respect to unknown biased features. For this, we utilize an auxiliary contrastive model with the popular heuristic that biased features are learned preferentially during training. Experiments on standard benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of the method, in particular when label noise complicates the identification of bias-conflicting examples.

计算优化问题解决方案解决方案的雅各布是机器学习中的一个核心问题，其应用程序在超参数优化，元学习，优化为层和数据集蒸馏中的应用程序，仅举几例。展开的分化是一种流行的启发式方法，它使用迭代求解器近似溶液，并通过计算路径区分它。这项工作提供了对梯度下降和Chebyshev方法的二次目标的这种方法的非反应收敛速率分析。我们表明，为了确保雅各布的融合，我们可以1）选择较大的学习率，导致快速渐近地收敛，但接受该算法可能具有任意长的燃烧阶段或2）选择较小的学习率直接但较慢的收敛性。我们将这种现象称为展开的诅咒。最后，我们讨论了相对于这种方法的开放问题，例如为最佳展开策略得出实用的更新规则，并与Sobolev正交多项式领域建立了新的联系。